How should we approach the development of cyber-policy and -infrastructure given the “short arm” of predictive knowledge?

To guide the growth of cyber-policy and technology when there is a “short arm” of predictive knowledge, you need a flexible and adaptable method that encourages learning and new ideas all the time. Because of how quickly technology changes and how hard it is to predict what cyber threats will happen in the future, lawmakers need to put flexibility and resilience at the top of their list when making policies and building infrastructure. First and foremost, getting partners to work together is important for making smart decisions and putting plans into action that work. Talking to professionals in various areas, like technology, cybersecurity, law enforcement, education, and civil society, can help policymakers learn about new trends, weaknesses, and best practices. This makes cyber-policy frameworks stronger and more useful. Using a risk-based method can also help focus resources and efforts on the most important cyber threats while still leaving room for freedom to deal with new problems as they come up. This means doing periodic risk evaluations to find weak spots, figure out what might happen, and make policy solutions fit those needs. Cyber-defense systems can be made more flexible and effective by policymakers who focus on risk-reduction tactics like building resilience, planning how to respond to incidents, and sharing information. Promoting a mindset of safety and digital literacy is also important for giving people and businesses the tools they need to protect themselves from cyber threats. Educating and reaching out to more people about common cyber risks, safe online behavior, and how important it is to be proactive about reducing threats can help make the cyber environment more resilient. It is also important to spend money on research and development to stay ahead of new cyber dangers and tech trends. Policymakers can give cybersecurity experts the tools and skills they need to predict and deal with future cyber threats by encouraging new developments in areas like AI, machine learning, encryption, and quantum technology.In conclusion, figuring out how to develop cyber-policy and infrastructure when we don’t know what will happen in the future takes a multifaceted approach that puts an emphasis on working together, managing risks, teaching, and coming up with new ideas. As long as lawmakers are open to change and flexibility, they can create strong cyber ecosystems that can handle new cyber threats and protect society’s digital infrastructure.