How should we approach the development of cyber-policy and -infrastructure given the “short arm” of predictive knowledge?
The development of cyber policy and infrastructure must take into consideration a number of factors that are critical to the development of policy and infrastructure. As technology grows and advances, policy and infrastructure must advance as well. Without these two concepts growing together, technological advancements will be hindered from further expansion, with a setback that will be detrimental to cyber space as we know it now. Cyber policy and infrastructure introduce the concept of “predictive knowledge” as an attribute of “cyberspace,” which is highly sensitive and vulnerable in its operation due to the nature and characteristics of the medium used to communicate and conduct business. When predictive knowledge is applied to cyber-assets, it is based on a eudaemonic philosophy of control (i.e., manipulation), and it is a methodology that can evaluate what constitutes reasonable behavior in this particular context. As with expected utility, we can focus on the expected use-value of cyber “weak points” to get closer to our goals of not only predicting them, but also building them, setting up the conditions for their acceptance by the people who are most interested. When it comes to figuring out “how to do cyber,” those who start with policy and infrastructure are almost always going to have a blind spot. Even though they are well aware of the issues at hand, including the critical need for “cyber-armies,” security certifications, deterrence through strength, and the development of an international cyber-security regime, they are unsure of the solutions. Government insiders, especially those who work on policy, agree that information technology (IT) isn’t a fixed thing, but they also know that IT is vulnerable to bad people and that attacks on the system can make it slower. As these two will coexist in the growth of our future, cyber policy will always require advancement alongside infrastructure.