Journal Post #13

How should we approach the development of cyber-policy and -infrastructure given the “short arm” of predictive knowledge?

Society has very dependent upon technology. So much so that it is hard to imagine a world without it. Technology has changed almost every aspect of our daily lives. People are constantly looking at their phones, there are computers in almost every device in our homes, and technology is even used at school and work. And even when working remotely or from home. Technology has grown at an exponential rate just recently. We can expect new ideas and innovations are being introduced every single day. Due to this rapid growth, it is hard for society and the government to keep up. For example, new cyber crimes are being committed everyday and the government is struggling to implement effective policies. The problem is that the world doesn’t know what these new technologies are fully capable of. This what is meant when referring to the term “short arm” of predictive knowledge. As cyber criminals are thinking of more innovative and easier ways for them to commit crimes it is hard for our legislative system to keep up. Ultimately, I don’t think that our policies need to rely heavily on the predictive knowledge. While it can be good for estimation purpose, it is still just an estimation and can be inaccurate. Instead our polices should be reactive this way we will focus on not over-predicting situations, which could be dangerous. This will account for problems that do not exist. However, I do believe predictive knowledge can be useful for countries that are not seeing such a significant growth in technology. They would most likely be able to better predict situations involving cyber crime. Although, relying solely on predictive knowledge can be dangerous. Also if we were to apply a reactive cyber-policy it would better serve our infrastructure as we are able to collect data while reacting.

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