The “Short Arm” of Predictive Knowledge
To answer the question of how we can approach the development of cyber-policy and infrastructure given the “short arm” of predictive knowledge. The first way to approach cyber policy and infrastructure is to have a precautionary principle that should safeguard against the worst-case scenarios even if that event is something that is unlikely to occur. This means having redundancy in the infrastructure so that even if something ends up failing, you can still keep your systems online until you fix the system that failed. The next thing that is important is that the policies and infrastructure should be flexible and something that can last if new threats emerge or when upgrading to newer technology. An example of this is things like getting better encryption to prepare for quantum computers breaking older encryption schemes. Another thing is that having other people look at the policies is also important since it can also improve a policy if something is not covered. Another is having policies that are ethical, which can hold the proper people accountable. The last thing that is important to have is plans for any future scenarios, even though it could be something that is unlikely or very unlikely to happen, and it can be things like better encryption to prepare for quantum computers breaking older encryption schemes or having users and employees have longer passwords. This also goes back to redundancy to plan for the worst-case scenarios and also keep up with newer threats. Overall, these are ways that we can approach the development of cyberpolicy and infrastructure given the “short arm” of predictive knowledge.