How should we approach the development of cyber-policy and -infrastructure given the “short arm” of predictive knowledge?

Approaching the development of cyber-policy and -infrastructure requires a nuanced understanding of the inherent challenges posed by the “short arm” of predictive knowledge in the dynamic realm of cybersecurity. Given the rapidly evolving nature of cyber threats, policies and infrastructure must be adaptive, flexible, and forward-looking. Rather than relying solely on predictive models, an effective approach involves embracing a proactive and iterative strategy. Policymakers and cybersecurity experts should prioritize continuous monitoring, regular risk assessments, and collaboration with industry stakeholders to stay abreast of emerging threats and technological advancements. Encouraging information sharing and fostering a culture of cybersecurity awareness within organizations and society at large can further enhance resilience. Additionally, international cooperation is crucial, recognizing that cyber threats often transcend borders. The development of cyber-policy and -infrastructure should prioritize agility, innovation, and a commitment to staying ahead of the evolving threat landscape, acknowledging the limitations of predictive knowledge and embracing a dynamic, adaptive approach.