Discussion Board The “Short Arm” of Predictive Knowledge

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The “short arm ” of predictive knowledge shows a certain paradox for the modern cyber-policy. Even though we possess the ” long reach” of technical capabilities, the amount of power to create globally interconnected systems and AI protocols. Our ability to try and foresee a declining societal and ethical consequences of the innovations continue to be very limited. In cybersecurity, a single shift in the policy or an infrastructure update can have unknown ” ripple effects’ that may not appear for a long time.  Our approach to cyber-policy should have a from a reactive model to one based on the ” Heuristics of Fear”. Jonas thinks that when the risks involve the very survival of human agency or the integrity of our social fabric, we must make a point of the ” prophecy of doom” over the ” prophecy of bliss”. This basically means embedding a Precautionary Principle into our infrastructure. Though pursuing maximum efficiency or speed, we should consider designing for resilience or modularity and even ” meaningful human control”. By understanding that we cannot fully make a prediction on how cyber tools will evolve or be weaponized, policy must remain the flexible and modest. We should ensure that our technical reach never go over our ethical responsibility in the future. 

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